Elicitation of subjective crop yield PDF [probability density functions]

Crop Revenue and Yield Insurance Demand: A Subjective Probability Approach

A Density-Ratio Model of Crop Yield Distributions

This paper proposes a density ratio estimator of crop yield distributions, wherein the number of observations for individual distributions is often quite small. The density ratio approach models individual densities as distortions from a common baseline density. We introduce a probability integral transformation to the density ratio method that simplifies the modeling of distortion functions. W...

Unsupervised Riemannian Clustering of Probability Density Functions

We present an algorithm for grouping families of probability density functions (pdfs). We exploit the fact that under the square-root re-parametrization, the space of pdfs forms a Riemannian manifold, namely the unit Hilbert sphere. An immediate consequence of this re-parametrization is that different families of pdfs form different submanifolds of the unit Hilbert sphere. Therefore, the proble...

Crop Yield and Plant Density under Diff erent Tillage Systems

To determine the optimal ploughing depth and to make tillage simpler and less costly, but also taking account of edaphic and climatic conditions as well as biological and agrotechnical requirements of crops grown, long-term investigations (1994-2009) have been carried out on Stagnic Luvisol of sloping terrains in central Croatia near Daruvar. Th e paper presents the results relating to plant de...

Expert Probability Elicitation Tools

of Terrorism Events (CREATE) under award number 2010-ST-061-RE0001. However, any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations in this document are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect views of the United States Department of Homeland Security, or the University of Southern California, or CREATE. Expert Probability Elicitation Tools Stephen C. Hora, University of Souther...